Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 11.316161 12.683882 14.191434 15.983328 18.064072 20.414788 23.286535
2025-11-02 9.299910 11.049028 13.123101 15.788273 19.157463 23.322766 28.937241
2025-11-09 8.081161 9.976198 12.335408 15.532912 19.823348 25.484225 33.695709
2025-11-16 7.235745 9.206958 11.758062 15.368466 20.457987 27.553279 38.522799
2025-11-23 6.500889 8.476601 11.115532 14.986102 20.673243 28.984063 42.569705
2025-11-30 5.997896 7.994669 10.739088 14.898540 21.250503 30.955951 47.699415
2025-12-07 5.427977 7.362296 10.082177 14.314864 20.985472 31.561208 50.654603
2025-12-14 4.900984 6.745314 9.388886 13.596223 20.408527 31.561049 52.520200
2025-12-21 4.554843 6.362267 9.003938 13.306119 20.469617 32.597850 56.384472
2025-12-28 4.639505 6.618662 9.593371 14.602280 23.292109 38.759703 71.128089
2026-01-04 4.483919 6.496252 9.583737 14.913236 24.449885 42.088053 80.919193
2026-01-11 4.194069 6.145068 9.183872 14.526266 24.308829 42.931941 85.555627
2026-01-18 4.079057 6.070229 9.237119 14.949196 25.754917 47.193693 99.117449
2026-01-25 3.856882 5.809194 8.965212 14.773329 26.048206 49.173109 107.835906
2026-02-01 3.645168 5.550707 8.677112 14.537896 26.190281 50.844124 116.204306
2026-02-08 3.466805 5.335766 8.446987 14.386392 26.479125 52.876819 126.084059
2026-02-15 3.270515 5.078903 8.126252 14.033968 26.308440 53.833963 133.236273
2026-02-22 3.132916 4.913548 7.954972 13.953239 26.702760 56.180220 145.161453
2026-03-01 2.936490 4.636486 7.567028 13.414873 26.041120 55.860049 148.799033
2026-03-08 2.735601 4.342252 7.132124 12.751442 25.037135 54.551255 148.962690
2026-03-15 2.605129 4.165191 6.901304 12.483440 24.900761 55.447946 156.804268
2026-03-22 2.682593 4.358989 7.365621 13.680028 28.292098 66.270000 203.677542
2026-03-29 2.634105 4.323403 7.395724 13.966789 29.559703 71.552989 232.470365